Monday 25 May 2015

Wind Trajectories for the Canadian Prairies (May 25, 2015)

Wind trajectories Related to Diamondback Moth (DBM) and Aster Leafhopper Introductions to the Canadian Prairies in 2015

BACKGROUND:
  Potential wind events capable of carrying insect pests from source areas in the USA can be identified by following trajectories for air parcels through time. High altitude air masses, originating from southern locations, frequently move northerly to Canadian destinations. Insect pest species such as Diamondback moth and Aster leafhoppers, traditionally unable to overwinter above the 49th parallel, can utilize these air masses in the spring to move north from Mexico and the United States (southern or Pacific northwest).

Wind trajectory data processing by AAFC-Saskatoon Staff (Weiss & Olfert) began in April.  Reverse Trajectories track air masses arriving across the prairies back to their point of origin.  Forward Trajectories predict favorable winds expected to arrive across the Canadian Prairies.  

Updated: May 23-25, 2015

1.  Reverse trajectories (RT)
This week, RTs are originating over the Arctic, tracking south to pass over South and North Dakota and tracking north into the Canadian prairies.

2.  Forward trajectories (FT) 
This week, Environment Canada models project that FTs crossing the prairies are expected to originate from the following sites:

Location
Projected Arrival Dates
BOZEMAN_MONTANA
25/05/2015
EASTERN_WASHINGTON
25/05/2015
MOSCOW_IDAHO
25/05/2015
EASTERN_WASHINGTON
24/05/2015
MANHATTAN_KANSAS
24/05/2015
MOSCOW_IDAHO
24/05/2015
BROWNSVILLE_TEXAS
23/05/2015
EASTERN_WASHINGTON
23/05/2015
MOSCOW_IDAHO
23/05/2015